Pollsters predict a clear BJP win in UP, AAP-Cong faceoff in Punjab

 Pollsters have fairly written off the possibility of other political parties coming to power in Uttar Pradesh. But remember exit polls predictions come with a warning — they may be proven wrong. Final results will be declared on Saturday after all the votes are counted.After a high-intensity election battle for over two months, an aggregate of exit polls released on Thursday have predicted the BJP cruising through in Uttar Pradesh. While Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) is in pole position in Punjab, it has a wafer-thin lead over the Congress. BJP is seen snatching the rule from the Congress in Uttarakhand. In Goa, BJP is likely to come up trumps with debutant AAP trailing behind. The Congress is marginally ahead in Manipur and may win the state election for third time in a row. The pollsters have fairly written off the possibility of other political parties coming to power in Uttar Pradesh. But remember exit polls predictions come with a warning — they may be proven wrong. Final results will be declared on Saturday after all the votes are counted. Uttar Pradesh The Network18-Gramener exit poll predicts BJP to cross the finish line in Uttar Pradesh with 193 seats. While VMR predicts BJP to win 200 seats in Uttar Pradesh, MRC predicts it to win 185 seats. Axis exit poll puts BJP in the victory lap with around 251-279 seats. The BJP will win 161 seats, according to C-Voter exit poll. CSDS is the only pollster that says there can be a neck-and-neck finish between the BJP and SP-Congress combine with 164-176 seats and 156-169 seats, respectively. 

Today’s Chanakya poll predicts a thumping BJP win with 285 seats. The halfway mark for a majority is 202 in a 403-seat assembly in Uttar Pradesh. Punjab Punjab may spring a surprise with Aam Aadmi Party expected to emerge the single-largest party in the 117-seat assembly. The Arvind-Kejriwal-led party is expected to bag 54 seats, just 5 shy of the half-way mark, according to Network18-Gramener projection. It places Congress right behind with 53 seats. The incumbent BJP-Akali combine looks washed out at jus 10 seats. Goa In Goa, the BJP is expected to lap up 19 seats — a clear majority — with the Congress trailing at 14, according to Network18-Gramener projection. Debutant AAP lags behind at 6 states. Uttarakhand The Network18-Gramener projection places BJP at 38 seat wins in Uttarakhand. The halfway mark for the state assembly is 36 seats.

 The Congress trails BJP with 26 seats, according to the projections. Manipur While Network18-Gramener projections hints at a BJP victory with 27 seats, Axis exit poll predicts Congress win with about 30-36 seats. Methodology Gramener has considered a two-fold measure to assign weights to the agency level numbers: 1. Using poll projection intervals for estimation 2. Weighted based on deviation from point estimates Using a methodology to combine the above approaches effectively, Gramener has provided a single factor as an accuracy measure. This two factors based scheme has been found to assign weights to the agencies with higher accuracy. Poll predictions for Goa have been calculated using national numbers, as agency level detailing wasn't available for this state

Read more for HNI Stock Tips- http://bit.ly/ace_services